Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.031945 0.034862 0.037792 0.040950 0.044250 0.047593 0.051229
2026-02-01 0.026664 0.030949 0.035393 0.040324 0.045619 0.051114 0.057228
2026-02-08 0.022919 0.028166 0.033770 0.040147 0.047149 0.054559 0.062947
2026-02-15 0.020725 0.026783 0.033419 0.041128 0.049747 0.059007 0.069630
2026-02-22 0.018935 0.025644 0.033162 0.042058 0.052159 0.063150 0.075896
2026-03-01 0.017160 0.024346 0.032579 0.042491 0.053906 0.066469 0.081180
2026-03-08 0.015641 0.023210 0.032069 0.042907 0.055548 0.069601 0.086195
2026-03-15 0.014613 0.022579 0.032078 0.043859 0.057748 0.073319 0.091831
2026-03-22 0.012798 0.020830 0.030637 0.043007 0.057779 0.074504 0.094548
2026-03-29 0.011711 0.019929 0.030164 0.043254 0.059047 0.077068 0.098801
2026-04-05 0.010908 0.019340 0.030031 0.043872 0.060722 0.080076 0.103541
2026-04-12 0.009921 0.018432 0.029443 0.043887 0.061639 0.082176 0.107212
2026-04-19 0.008328 0.016602 0.027626 0.042364 0.060722 0.082168 0.108508
2026-04-26 0.007266 0.015444 0.026631 0.041831 0.060978 0.083524 0.111386
2026-05-03 0.006447 0.014578 0.025978 0.041697 0.061697 0.085415 0.114881
2026-05-10 0.006090 0.014391 0.026230 0.042721 0.063843 0.089007 0.120381
2026-05-17 0.005742 0.014189 0.026444 0.043681 0.065902 0.092493 0.125755
2026-05-24 0.005267 0.013738 0.026282 0.044127 0.067302 0.095176 0.130174
2026-05-31 0.004826 0.013306 0.026120 0.044554 0.068665 0.097805 0.134522
2026-06-07 0.004570 0.013169 0.026372 0.045527 0.070716 0.101269 0.139867
2026-06-14 0.003858 0.012151 0.025287 0.044657 0.070387 0.101805 0.141693
2026-06-21 0.003485 0.011714 0.025040 0.044910 0.071485 0.104082 0.145601
2026-06-28 0.003229 0.011473 0.025074 0.045541 0.073066 0.106949 0.150216